Vistra Corp.
NYSE: VST
Stock price
156.14 USD
(+772.29%) 5 years
Financial Performance
5Y price score: 1005
The price score is a basic measure of the stock's performance against the S&P 500 Index over a five-year period.
A score of 100 indicates that the stock did as well as the S&P 500 Index.
A score below 100 means the stock underperformed the index, while a score above 100 means it outperformed the S&P 500.
10Y return: 927.8%
%
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132.6
52-week range
217.1
Your model inputs
Your fair value & Margin of safety
To calculate fair value based on cost of capital and terminal growth assumptions above, please select free cash flow forecast.
Forecast:
Valuation
Free Cash Flow Yield
2.6 %
Dividend Yield TTM
0.6 %
Market cap $
$ 52,648
Price / Earnings TTM
26.3
Price / Book TTM
9.7
PEG TTM
(0.4)
Earnings growth and return
LTM
5YR
10YR
Total return (price & dividends)
(24) %
794.2 %
927.8 %
Free cash flow per share growth
212.6 %
(91) %
172.8 %
Earnings per share growth
(8.4) %
70 %
120.2 %
Business Summary:
Q&A
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Latest Earnings Call Takeaways
2026 Q2 (Aug 7, 2026)
1) Strategy & Leadership - Vistra Corp is on track to achieve record results in 2026, driven by a structurally improved demand environment in key markets (PJM and ERCOT). - The company is actively negotiating with large load customers, particularly in data center development, leveraging its diversified and flexible fleet. - A partnership with KKR, NVIDIA, and the Kuwait Investment Authority has been established to invest in Helix Digital Infrastructure, focusing on power solutions for data centers.
2) Financial & Segment Results - Second quarter Adjusted EBITDA reached nearly $1.8 billion, up over 30% from approximately $1.35 billion in Q2 2025. - Generation segment contributed about $994 million to Adjusted EBITDA, while retail contributed approximately $773 million. - Vistra reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion and Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth guidance of $3.925 billion to $4.725 billion.
3) Operational Plans & Challenges - The company successfully completed its annual spring maintenance cycle, achieving over 97% commercial availability across its fleet during recent heat waves. - While demand in ERCOT has softened, PJM has seen strength in forward pricing, reflecting a mixed market outlook. - Regulatory processes and audits in Texas are expected to cause some delays, but Vistra remains confident in its project timelines.
4) Guidance & Outlook - Vistra expects annual load growth of 4%-6% in ERCOT and 2%-3% in PJM through 2030, driven by factors beyond data centers, including industrial reshoring and population growth. - The company anticipates generating over $10 billion of available cash in 2026 and 2027, with significant allocations planned for shareholder returns and growth investments. - The 2027 Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity range is maintained at $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion, despite some headwinds from ERCOT pricing.
5) Investor Angle & Missing Information - The call highlighted Vistra's commitment to maintaining investment-grade credit ratings and disciplined capital allocation strategies. - There was no detailed discussion on specific project timelines for Helix or the impact of regulatory changes on existing projects, which could be relevant for investors.
Bottom line: Vistra Corp is positioned for strong growth in 2026, supported by robust demand in key markets and strategic partnerships, while navigating regulatory challenges and maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation.
Annual Reports, Presentations And IR Contacts
Go to the websiteVistra Corp. — Financial Overview, Stock Price, Market Cap
Vistra Corp. is a company. Founded in 2016. As of October 9, 2026, the company's market capitalization is $52647670554 with a current stock price of $156.14.
