Erie Indemnity

NASDAQ: ERIE

Stock price

239.05 USD

(+30.47%) 5 years

Insider Transactions

5Y price score: 41
Help

The price score is a basic measure of the stock's performance against the S&P 500 Index over a five-year period.

A score of 100 indicates that the stock did as well as the S&P 500 Index.

A score below 100 means the stock underperformed the index, while a score above 100 means it outperformed the S&P 500.

5Y return: +30.47%
DATE RANGE:
USD PER SHARE

  • Stock price
  • Sales
  • Purchases
  • Stock awards

Transaction History

Trade log
DateActionSharesPriceShare ValueHoldingNameTitleSource
31-jul.-26Award65--14,626Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
21-jul.-26Award100--14,561Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
02-jun.-26Purchase4,000200.0800,0003,004,000Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
02-jun.-26Purchase1,000211.5211,500267,081Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
02-jun.-26Purchase2,000211.0422,000266,081Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
08-may.-26Sale(465)217.1(100,952)909DaBreo Anthonyofficer: Senior Vice President, Lifelink
21-apr.-26Award83--14,461Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
20-apr.-26Award39--14,378Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
31-jan.-26Award39--14,339Vorsheck Elizabeth Adirector, 10 percent owner: link
30-jan.-26Award500280.9140,4351,353DaBreo Anthonyofficer: Senior Vice President, Lifelink

204.6

52-week range

330.5

239.05

Your model inputs

Required return / cost of capital
%
FCFF terminal growth rate
%

Your fair value & Margin of safety

To calculate fair value based on cost of capital and terminal growth assumptions above, please select free cash flow forecast.

Forecast:

Set price notification

Valuation

Free Cash Flow Yield

Help
FCF Yield TTM = Trailing Twelve Months free cash flow per share / current market price per shareLearn more

4.4 %

Dividend Yield TTM

2.4 %

Market cap $

11,042

Price / Earnings TTM

Help
P/E TTM = current market price per share / Trailing Twelve Months diluted earnings per shareLearn more

21.8

Price / Book TTM

4.5

PEG TTM

Help
Price/Earnings-to-Growth ratio = P/E TTM divided by most recent annual diluted earnings per share growth rateLearn more

(2.9)

Earnings growth and return

LTM

5YR

10YR

Total return (price & dividends)

(23.5) %

43.5 %

186 %

Free cash flow per share growth

10.2 %

98.9 %

291.7 %

Earnings per share growth

3.3 %

89.3 %

218.9 %

Dividends

Previous dividend:1.4625 per share, Paid, Ex-div date Jul 07, 2026
Next dividend:1.4625 per share, Declared, Ex-div date Oct 05, 2026
Financials

all figures in USD Millions except per share data

Periods:

View:

Forecast:

Help

Averages

based on historical growth rates (CAGR) and average margins for last 10 or max, available and up to 10 years.

Analysts

Average Revenue and Net Income forecast estimates from analysts who cover the stock.

Custom

you can edit default forecast based on averages or analysts consensus and use it to calculate fair value based on your assumptions.

Actual
10 year gagr
Estimated
Projected
Fiscal
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Average (A)
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Terminal
FISCAL PERIOD END DATES
SHOW FORECAST VS ACTUAL
01Earnings per share
Help
Diluted EPSLearn more
3.3
4
3.8
4.9
6.1
5.6
5.7
5.7
8.5
11.5
10.6
12.3%
10.8
12.1
13.5
15
16.8
17.5
02FCF per share
2.8
3.9
2.9
4.4
4.5
5.4
5.5
6.5
5.5
9.2
10.8
14.6%
9.2
9.8
10.5
11
11.5
10.4
03Dividends per share
Help
Adjusted for splitsLearn more
3.5
2.2
3.1
3.4
3.6
5.9
4.1
4.4
4.8
5.1
5.5
4.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
04Dividends payout, %
72.6%
64.6%
74%
54.3%
52.9%
93%
64.7%
69.3%
49.7%
39.6%
45.5%
(4.6)%
-
-
-
-
-
-
05Revenue
1,506
1,597
1,692
2,382
2,477
2,537
2,634
2,840
3,269
3,795
4,067
10.5%
4,492
4,962
5,480
6,053
6,685
6,886
06ㅤ% Change
-
6.1%
6%
40.8%
4%
2.4%
3.8%
7.8%
15.1%
16.1%
7.2%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
10.5%
07Net Income
174.7
210.4
197
288.2
316.8
293.3
297.9
298.6
446.1
600.3
559.3
12.3%
563.2
622.1
687.1
758.8
838.1
863.3
08ㅤ% Margin
11.6%
13.2%
11.6%
12.1%
12.8%
11.6%
11.3%
10.5%
13.7%
15.8%
13.8%
12.5% A
12.5%
12.5%
12.5%
12.5%
12.5%
12.5%
09CFO
174.7
254.3
197
288.2
364.5
342.6
402.8
366.2
381.2
611.2
686.7
14.7%
622.1
687.1
758.9
838.2
925.8
953.6
10ㅤ% Of revenue
11.6%
15.9%
11.6%
12.1%
14.7%
13.5%
15.3%
12.9%
11.7%
16.1%
16.9%
13.9% A
13.9%
13.9%
13.9%
13.9%
13.9%
13.9%
11CAPEX
(12.6)
(25.2)
(28.9)
(56.3)
(102)
(55.5)
(148.8)
(67.2)
(92.6)
(124.8)
(115.7)
24.9%
(144.5)
(180.4)
(225.2)
(281.2)
(351.2)
(438.5)
12ㅤ% Change
-
100.8%
14.8%
94.6%
81.3%
(45.6)%
168%
(54.8)%
37.9%
34.8%
(7.3)%
24.9% A
24.9%
24.9%
24.9%
24.9%
24.9%
24.9%
13FCFF
Help
Free Cash Flow to the Firm = Cash Flows from Operating Activities (09) – Capital Expenditures (11)Learn more
162.1
229.1
168.1
231.9
262.5
287.1
254
298.9
288.6
486.4
571
13.4%
477.6
506.7
533.7
557
574.6
515
14Total assets
1,407
1,549
1,666
1,778
2,016
2,117
2,242
2,240
2,472
2,889
3,356
9.1%
3,660
3,992
4,355
4,750
5,181
5,652
15ㅤ% Change
-
10.1%
7.6%
6.8%
13.4%
5%
5.9%
(0.1)%
10.4%
16.9%
16.2%
9.1%
9.1%
9.1%
9.1%
9.1%
9.1%
9.1%
16Total liabilities
637.8
732
808.5
804.7
883
929.1
899.6
791
809.1
901.4
1,072
5.3%
1,169
1,276
1,391
1,518
1,656
1,806
17ㅤ% Of assets
45.3%
47.3%
48.5%
45.3%
43.8%
43.9%
40.1%
35.3%
32.7%
31.2%
32%
32% A
32%
32%
32%
32%
32%
32%
18Shareholders Equity
769.5
816.9
857.3
973.7
1,133
1,188
1,343
1,448
1,663
1,987
2,283
11.5%
2,491
2,717
2,963
3,232
3,526
3,846
19Net Debt
(182.9)
(164.3)
(141)
(166.7)
(217)
(65.4)
(89.9)
(19.6)
(144.1)
(267.3)
(315.7)
5.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
20Shares Outstanding
Help
Diluted Weighted-average Shares OutstandingLearn more
58,600
58,536
58,438
52,697
58,421
52,695
46,189
46,189
52,681
52,688
52,687
(1.1)%
52,129
51,578
51,032
50,492
49,958
49,429
21ㅤ% Change
-
(0.1)%
(0.2)%
(9.8)%
10.9%
(9.8)%
(12.4)%
-
14.1%
-
-
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
(1.1)%
22ROA
12.4%
13.6%
11.8%
16.2%
15.7%
13.9%
13.3%
13.3%
18%
20.8%
16.7%
-
15.4%
15.6%
15.8%
16%
16.2%
15.3%
23ROE
22.7%
25.8%
23%
29.6%
28%
24.7%
22.2%
20.6%
26.8%
30.2%
24.5%
-
22.6%
22.9%
23.2%
23.5%
23.8%
22.5%
24Interest coverage
-
2,906.1
234.5
140
417.5
462.6
77
187.3
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
25Dividend Yield
2.5%
2.3%
2.3%
2.2%
1.9%
2.1%
2.2%
1.8%
1.4%
1.3%
1.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
26P/E Ratio
25.5
24.9
28.8
27
24.4
39
30.1
38.8
35
32
23.9
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
27Stock price range
80-101
90-115
110-129
111-137
130-269
135-251
170-261
160-282
201-335
328-545
275-451
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
28Market Cap
Help
End of Period Market CapLearn more
5,017
5,899
6,384
6,971
8,680
12,848
8,899
11,488
15,470
19,041
13,349
10.3%
6,876
7,531
8,253
9,047
9,920
-
29FCF Yield
4.1%
3.9%
2.6%
3%
3%
2.2%
2.9%
2.6%
1.9%
2.6%
4.3%
0.5%
7%
6.7%
6.5%
6.2%
5.8%
-
30Average stock price
90.2
102.3
119.5
124.1
199.5
193.1
215.2
221.3
268
436.3
362.8
14.9%
131.9
146
161.7
179.2
198.6
-
31 CEO
TN
Timothy G. NeCastro