AES Corporation
NYSE: AES
Stock price
14.93 USD
(-37.97%) 5 years
Financial Performance
5Y price score: (49)
The price score is a basic measure of the stock's performance against the S&P 500 Index over a five-year period.
A score of 100 indicates that the stock did as well as the S&P 500 Index.
A score below 100 means the stock underperformed the index, while a score above 100 means it outperformed the S&P 500.
10Y return: 79.3%
%
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13.2
52-week range
17.6
Your model inputs
Your fair value & Margin of safety
To calculate fair value based on cost of capital and terminal growth assumptions above, please select free cash flow forecast.
Forecast:
Valuation
Free Cash Flow Yield
(16.1) %
Dividend Yield TTM
4.7 %
Market cap $
$ 10,647
Price / Earnings TTM
5.7
Price / Book TTM
2.2
PEG TTM
(0.1)
Earnings growth and return
LTM
5YR
10YR
Total return (price & dividends)
6.1 %
(24.3) %
79.3 %
Free cash flow per share growth
(67) %
(278.1) %
(802.6) %
Earnings per share growth
500 %
1,700 %
186.4 %
Business Summary:
Q&A
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Latest Earnings Call Takeaways
2025 Q3 (Nov 5, 2025)
1) Strategic Overview and Leadership Confidence
- AES reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, indicating strong execution towards financial and strategic objectives.
- The company is on track to sign 4 gigawatts of new Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) this year, with 2.2 gigawatts already signed and an additional 1.8 gigawatts expected by year-end.
- AES is progressing well with its construction projects, having completed 2.9 gigawatts out of a planned 3.2 gigawatts for the year.
- The company maintains its investment-grade credit ratings with a stable outlook from all major agencies.
2) Financial Performance and Segment Results
- Q3 2025 adjusted EBITDA reached $830 million, up from $698 million YoY, driven by growth in renewables and utility investments.
- Adjusted EPS increased to $0.75 from $0.71 YoY, supported by the same growth factors.
- Renewables EBITDA saw a 46% increase year-to-date, attributed to new projects and scaling efficiencies.
- The company's utilities segment is benefiting from significant rate base investments, with a $1.3 billion increase over the past year.
3) Operational Plans and Growth Drivers
- AES is focused on expanding its renewables portfolio, with a backlog of 11.1 gigawatts and plans for further capacity growth through 2027.
- The company is also repowering 1.2 gigawatts of natural gas at AES Indiana, expected to be operational next year.
- AES has signed a development transfer agreement for a data center site, marking a strategic move into co-located energy solutions.
- The company is leveraging its strong supply chain and economies of scale to enhance project returns, with average project sizes increasing by over 50% in the last five years.
4) Challenges and Regulatory Environment
- AES faces challenges related to regulatory approvals, particularly in Indiana, where it has filed for a rate review. The company aims to maintain affordability while investing in infrastructure.
- The resolution of active rate cases is crucial for maintaining competitive pricing in Indiana and Ohio, where AES is among the lowest-cost providers.
- The company is also navigating the impacts of asset sales, including the sell-down of AES Ohio and AES Brazil, which have affected overall EBITDA contributions.
5) Guidance and Future Outlook
- AES reaffirms its long-term growth rate of 5% to 7% for adjusted EBITDA through 2027, with expectations for a strong step-up in growth rates in the coming years.
- The company anticipates an incremental $400 million of run-rate EBITDA from projects expected to come online by the end of 2027.
- AES is focused on self-funding its growth through 2027, with no plans for equity issuance in the near term.
- The call lacked detailed projections beyond 2027 and specific metrics on the impact of the new data center agreements on overall financial performance.
Bottom line: AES is well-positioned for continued growth, driven by its robust renewables pipeline and strategic utility investments. The reaffirmation of guidance and strong operational execution suggest a solid outlook for shareholders, despite regulatory challenges and the impacts of recent asset sales.
Annual Reports, Presentations And IR Contacts
Go to the websiteAES Corporation — Financial Overview, Stock Price, Market Cap
AES Corporation is a company. Founded in 1981. As of October 9, 2026, the company's market capitalization is $10647448940 with a current stock price of $14.93.
